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UK economy on course for 1.5% expansion, NIESR predicts

12/02/2025 07:01 The Guardian

Thinktank cautions Trump tariffs could blow hole in forecast, with 63% of UK firms exporting to US expecting to be hitThe British economy is on course to expand by 1.5% this year after the budget gave a boost to public spending but could be blown off course if Donald Trump goes ahead with threatened tariffs, a leading economic thinktank has warned.In a boost to Rachel Reeves after a bruising month of negative economic figures, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) upped its annual growth prediction from 1.2% to 1.5%. Continue reading...

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Focus on Ukraine as foreign ministers meet and US’s Hegseth visits Brussels – Europe live

Meetings come amid repeated suggestions that the Trump administration wants to end the war as soon as possiblein DublinIrregular migration from western Africa to the Canary Islands remained the most active route in Europe in January, new figures from the EU’s external border agency, Frontex, show....

12/02/2025 09:31 The Guardian
Middle East crisis live: fears grow for Israel-Gaza ceasefire after Netanyahu threat

Israel’s prime minister said he would end the ceasefire if Hamas failed to free Israeli hostages by midday on SaturdayHere are some of the latest images on the newswires:The Israeli military says it struck two people in the southern Gaza Strip who were flying a drone. It said on Wednesday that the...

12/02/2025 09:20 The Guardian
Coca-Cola says Trump tariffs could force it to increase use of plastic in US

Introduction of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium imports could push up canned food and drink pricesCoca-Cola has said it may have to increase its use of plastic in the US, if Donald Trump’s tariffs raise the cost of aluminium cans.The drinks company’s warning follows Trump’s introduction of...

12/02/2025 09:20 The Guardian
Most Europeans see Trump’s US as more a necessary partner than ally, poll finds

Findings of survey prompt call for more ‘realistic, transactional’ EU approach towards WashingtonEurope live – latest updatesDonald Trump’s return to the White House has led to a “remarkable shift” in Europeans’ view of the US, according to a survey, with even the most America-friendly...

12/02/2025 08:51 The Guardian
Aberdeen named cheapest city for single homebuyers in Great Britain

Average one- or two-bedroom home is £119,000 in Scottish city, as Liverpool tops list in England and Blaenau Gwent in WalesBoost for UK borrowers as Santander ‘fires starting gun’ on mortgage price warAberdeen in Scotland is the most affordable city for single people to buy a home in Great Brit...

12/02/2025 07:00 The Guardian
Antoinette Lattouf v ABC hearing live: editorial adviser declines to comment on string of Patricia Karvelas social media posts presented in court

Lattouf’s unlawful termination claim against ABC examines how and why she was sacked after posting on social media about Israel-Gaza war. Follow the hearing live.Fagir presses Latimer on the social media advice given to LattoufFagir is now taking Latimer to advice he received from the acting edito...

12/02/2025 06:54 The Guardian
Wednesday briefing: Inside the US president’s chaos machine

In today’s newsletter: From the the AI arms race to support for Ukraine to UK diplomatic love bombing, a look at four of the most pressing developments from WashingtonGood morning.Few words can fully capture the first few weeks of Donald Trump’s presidency. Dizzying? Unrelenting? Disorienting?Mi...

12/02/2025 06:53 The Guardian
Nationwide warns Reeves against cutting tax breaks on cash Isas

City wants more investment in stocks but move could reduce availability of mortgages for first-time buyers Britain’s biggest building society has waded into a row over whether the government should cut tax breaks on cash Isas, arguing such a move would reduce the availability of mortgages for firs...

12/02/2025 06:00 The Guardian
China tops list of countries trying to silence exiled dissidents over past decade, study shows

Russia, Turkey and Egypt also among worst perpetrators of transnational repression around the globeA quarter of the world’s countries have engaged in transnational repression – targeting political exiles abroad to silence dissent – in the past decade, new research reveals.The Washington DC-bas...

12/02/2025 05:00 The Guardian
Modi heads to US in mission to dodge a tit-for-tat tariff battle

Prime minister hoping to revive ‘bromance’ of Trump’s first term despite US president calling India ‘a very big abuser’The Indian prime minister, Narendra Modi, is heading to Washington for high-stakes talks in an attempt to avoid a trade war with Donald Trump.India is considering tariff c...

12/02/2025 03:30 The Guardian
AFL plan to extract more money from gambling faces potential legal challenge

Exclusive: Bookmakers consider fighting proposal to increase fees from 0.9% to 1.5% of turnover from most betsFollow our Australia news live blog for latest updatesGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastThe AFL’s bid to secure a bigger share of gambling losses – despite publi...

12/02/2025 03:00 The Guardian
White House fires USAid inspector general who issued damning report on Trump’s funding freeze – as it happened

This live coverage has ended. You can find all of our live US politics coverage hereDonald Trump announced he is dispatching Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to Ukraine to meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while also predicting the war in the country would end “soon”.The US president made the news...

12/02/2025 02:49 The Guardian
Trump reportedly fires watchdog who oversees USAid after damning report

Paul Martin, an independent inspector general and Biden appointee, warned of drastic effects of shuttering USAidDonald Trump reportedly fired the federal watchdog responsible for overseeing the US Agency for International Development (USAid) on Tuesday, one day after the independent inspector genera...

12/02/2025 01:01 The Guardian
Aid worker says medical machines appear to have been ‘deliberately destroyed’ in Gaza hospital – as it happened

This blog has now closed. You can read our latest report on Israel’s threat to resume its war on Gaza unless its hostages are released here and all our coverage of the war here.We are pausing this live blog for the moment but for a full report on Trump’s latest comments on the ceasefire deal our...

12/02/2025 00:10 The Guardian
Marc Fogel: Trump says another release to come as he greets US teacher freeed by Russia

President claims release of Pennsylvania teacher Marc Fogel, held in Russia since 2021, could be an important part of ending the Ukraine warA US teacher who has been held in Russia since 2021 has been greeted at the White House by Donald Trump, who claimed the release could be an “important part...

11/02/2025 22:17 The Guardian
Salman Rushdie tells stabbing trial: ‘It occurred to me quite clearly I was dying’

Author says ‘I was screaming because of the pain’ in trial of man accused of trying to kill himSalman Rushdie took the stand in the trial of the man accused of attempting to kill him at a literary gathering in western New York in August 2022, and described the shocking attack more than 35 years...

11/02/2025 19:42 The Guardian
Boost for UK borrowers as Santander ‘fires starting gun’ on mortgage price war

Bank to offer first two-year deal under 4% with rivals likely to follow suitThe first sub-4% mortgages for months are going on sale, handing a much-needed boost to first-time buyers and those worried about refinancing their home loan.Santander on Thursday will start offering fixed rate deals at 3.99...

11/02/2025 19:28 The Guardian
Israel will resume war in Gaza unless more hostages freed this week, says Netanyahu

Ultimatum appears to endorse threat by Donald Trump, who on Tuesday also appeared to back annexation of West BankMiddle East crisis – live updatesBenjamin Netanyahu has said that Israel will resume fighting in Gaza if Hamas does not release more hostages by noon on Saturday, endorsing a threat by...

11/02/2025 19:22 The Guardian
‘Let’s not forget the pain of the 2008 crisis in pursuit of growth,’ warns Andrew Bailey

Bank of England governor says there is ‘no trade-off’ between economic growth and financial stabilityThe governor of the Bank of England has warned against watering down City regulations introduced after the 2008 banking crash, saying there was “no trade-off” between economic growth and fina...

11/02/2025 18:31 The Guardian
Canada, Mexico and EU criticise Trump’s metal tariffs amid fears of trade war

Ursula von der Leyen says tariffs ‘will not go unanswered’ as Justin Trudeau says Canadians will ‘stand up if we need to’Europe live – latest updatesCanada, Mexico and the EU have sharply criticised Donald Trump’s decision to impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports to the U...

11/02/2025 17:31 The Guardian
UK Steel says Trump has ‘taken a sledgehammer’ to free trade; BoE governor warns against ripping out regulation – as it happened

UK steel industry fears surge of foreign imports as US imposes 25% tariffs, as Bank of England chief says world should not forget 2008 crisisTrump announces 25% tariffs on foreign steel and aluminiumIt’s always worth noting when a bird changes its plumage. Shedding one coat for another can be both...

11/02/2025 15:59 The Guardian
Zelenskyy: Europe cannot guarantee Ukraine’s security without America

Exclusive: In extended interview with the Guardian, Ukraine’s president says he will offer US firms lucrative reconstruction contracts to try to get Trump onsideIf Donald Trump withdraws US support for Ukraine, Europe alone will be unable to fill the gap, Volodymyr Zelenskyy has warned, on the eve...

11/02/2025 14:00 The Guardian
Most charges against Gaza protesters dismissed but ‘intent is to scare people’

Protesters are facing increasingly draconian charges that get dismissed but could still have a chilling effectAs pro-Palestinian demonstrations broke out across the US during the first year of war in Gaza, thousands of people were arrested, charged, or cited for their involvement. Most of the cases...

11/02/2025 12:00 The Guardian
EU vows ‘firm and proportionate countermeasures’ against latest Trump tariffs – Europe live

Ursula von der Leyen says ‘unjustified’ tariffs on aluminium and steel ‘will not go unanswered’Opening Day 2 of the AI Action Summit in Paris, French president Macron makes a reference to the 1937 Expo held there, saying that the French Nobel prize winning physicist Jean Baptiste Perrin used...

11/02/2025 09:32 The Guardian
Campaigner for migrants in Libya targeted in spyware attack

Exclusive: Italy-based David Yambio, a critic of Meloni government, was told of attempt to compromise his phoneAn Italy-based human rights activist whose work supports the international criminal court in providing evidence about cases of abuse suffered by migrants and refugees held in Libyan detenti...

11/02/2025 08:00 The Guardian
Tuesday briefing: Will Labour’s own ‘go home’ moment work – or lead to more desperate measures?

In today’s newsletter: As the Home Office trails a tough new stance against illegal immigration, Daniel Trilling explains what an alternative approach might look likeGood morning. Last night, the Home Office published footage of a group of men being escorted from a bus onto a deportation flight. W...

11/02/2025 06:51 The Guardian
Ukraine ‘may be Russian someday’, Trump says ahead of Zelenskyy meeting with Vance

US president also says he wants a return on US aid given to Ukraine such as rare minerals, in interview with Fox NewsUS president Donald Trump has floated the idea that Ukraine “may be Russian someday”, as his vice-president JD Vance gears up to meet Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy later...

11/02/2025 06:49 The Guardian
Antoinette Lattouf v ABC hearing day six – as it happened

This blog is now closed‘Someone senior’ leaked Antoinette Lattouf’s sacking to The Australian, Laura Tingle warned Ita ButtroseHere we go again: suggestion v directionSteve Ahern is back in the witness box after a short recess. His cross-examination is undertaken by Lattouf’s junior counsel...

11/02/2025 06:07 The Guardian
Trump’s aid cuts will lead to a surge in propaganda and misinformation, say press freedom groups

From Ukraine to Afghanistan, independent media organisations across the world are being forced to lay off staff or shut down after losing USAid fundingDonald Trump’s foreign aid freeze will lead to a decline in the number of independent media outlets across the world, causing a surge in misinforma...

11/02/2025 05:00 The Guardian
Asian stock markets mixed after Trump tariffs announcement while gold reaches record high

Analysts say measures so far have been less than feared but traders still cautious as uncertainty about US policy ‘has basically exploded’Asian markets were mixed on Tuesday as traders kept a nervous eye on Donald Trump’s next moves after he signed off on 25% tariffs for steel and aluminium im...

11/02/2025 04:04 The Guardian
BREAKING NEWS
12/02 10:04 - News24 | 'Beyond grateful, relieved, and overwhelmed': US frees teacher Marc Fogel from Russia jail 12/02 09:31 - Focus on Ukraine as foreign ministers meet and US’s Hegseth visits Brussels – Europe live 12/02 09:20 - Middle East crisis live: fears grow for Israel-Gaza ceasefire after Netanyahu threat 12/02 09:20 - Coca-Cola says Trump tariffs could force it to increase use of plastic in US 12/02 09:20 - One killed in ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, Ukraine says 12/02 09:11 - Children in Haiti falling prey to gruesome gang violence, Amnesty warns 12/02 09:11 - Children in Haiti falling prey to gruesome gang violence, Amnesty warns 12/02 08:53 - Ford CEO blames Trump for US car industry ‘chaos’ 12/02 08:51 - Most Europeans see Trump’s US as more a necessary partner than ally, poll finds 12/02 07:48 - Russian missile strike on Kyiv kills at least one, sparks fires, Ukraine says 12/02 07:44 - Netanyahu “looking for excuse [to] restart war” in Gaza 12/02 07:44 - Netanyahu “looking for excuse [to] restart war” in Gaza 12/02 07:25 - In the war for Kursk, Russian civilians evacuated to Ukraine 12/02 07:19 - Trump determined to free every American held in Russia – Rubio 12/02 07:01 - UK economy on course for 1.5% expansion, NIESR predicts 12/02 07:00 - Aberdeen named cheapest city for single homebuyers in Great Britain 12/02 07:00 - News24 | 'Until Hamas is decisively defeated': Israel threatens renewed Gaza war if hostages not released 12/02 06:54 - Antoinette Lattouf v ABC hearing live: editorial adviser declines to comment on string of Patricia Karvelas social media posts presented in court 12/02 06:53 - Wednesday briefing: Inside the US president’s chaos machine 12/02 06:47 - Trump Greets Fogel at White House After Release as Hostage 12/02 06:29 - Iran denounces ‘reckless’ Trump remarks on nuclear deal 12/02 06:29 - Iran denounces ‘reckless’ Trump remarks on nuclear deal 12/02 06:19 - Judge's sperm donor warning over man who 'fathered 180 children' 12/02 06:00 - Nationwide warns Reeves against cutting tax breaks on cash Isas 12/02 05:22 - Why are gold prices soaring amid US President Trump’s tariffs? 12/02 05:22 - Why are gold prices soaring amid US President Trump’s tariffs? 12/02 05:13 - Thanking Putin, Trump links American’s release to ending Ukraine war 12/02 05:00 - China tops list of countries trying to silence exiled dissidents over past decade, study shows 12/02 04:52 - Trump welcomes back teacher released by Russia 12/02 04:48 - The Papers: 'Ukraine needs US support' and Kate's prison visit 12/02 04:39 - Trump welcomes back teacher released by Russia, hints at diplomatic thaw 12/02 04:15 - Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events – day 1,084 12/02 04:15 - Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events – day 1,084 12/02 04:01 - US schoolteacher Marc Fogel released by Russia, White House says 12/02 04:01 - US schoolteacher Marc Fogel released by Russia, White House says 12/02 03:52 - Russia Releases Marc Fogel After Talks With Trump Envoy 12/02 03:30 - Modi heads to US in mission to dodge a tit-for-tat tariff battle 12/02 03:00 - AFL plan to extract more money from gambling faces potential legal challenge 12/02 02:58 - One killed after Russian missile attack starts several fires in Kyiv 12/02 02:49 - White House fires USAid inspector general who issued damning report on Trump’s funding freeze – as it happened 12/02 02:47 - Who Is Marc Fogel? The American Teacher Caught in a Global Power Struggle. 12/02 01:24 - Oil clean-up 'scam' warnings ignored by Shell, whistleblower tells BBC 12/02 01:01 - Trump reportedly fires watchdog who oversees USAid after damning report 12/02 00:10 - Aid worker says medical machines appear to have been ‘deliberately destroyed’ in Gaza hospital – as it happened 12/02 00:08 - Trade, tariffs and visas to dominate Trump-Modi talks 11/02 23:36 - Gaza Truce Imperiled as Netanyahu and Hamas Send Dueling Warnings 11/02 22:17 - Marc Fogel: Trump says another release to come as he greets US teacher freeed by Russia 11/02 21:44 - Pentagon makes Ukraine troop deployment pledge 11/02 21:33 - German mercenary arrested in Ukraine on suspicion of raping minor – media 11/02 21:23 - In Trump’s Washington, a War of Wordplay Takes Hold 11/02 21:20 - Ukraine prepared to swap Russian territory in peace negotiations, Zelensky says 11/02 21:00 - Trump to send Treasury secretary to Kiev 11/02 20:47 - Palestinian father reunites with his lost baby after a year of war 11/02 20:47 - Palestinian father reunites with his lost baby after a year of war 11/02 20:28 - From world's best to Wales' worst - Gatland shows danger of going back 11/02 20:08 - US teacher handed 14-year sentence in Russia welcomed home by Trump 11/02 19:42 - Salman Rushdie tells stabbing trial: ‘It occurred to me quite clearly I was dying’ 11/02 19:37 - Sam Nujoma, who led Namibia after independence struggle, dies at 95 11/02 19:28 - Boost for UK borrowers as Santander ‘fires starting gun’ on mortgage price war 11/02 19:24 - ‘This is blackmail’: How the West used a humanitarian crisis to pressure a Russian ally 11/02 19:22 - Israel will resume war in Gaza unless more hostages freed this week, says Netanyahu 11/02 18:59 - Russia frees jailed US national – White House 11/02 18:31 - ‘Let’s not forget the pain of the 2008 crisis in pursuit of growth,’ warns Andrew Bailey 11/02 18:27 - Yemen’s Houthis warn they are ready to attack Israel if Gaza war resumes 11/02 18:27 - Yemen’s Houthis warn they are ready to attack Israel if Gaza war resumes 11/02 18:23 - EU country confirms resumption of Russian gas supply 11/02 18:18 - Ukrainian Lawmakers Approve Contentious Purchase of Nuclear Reactors 11/02 17:55 - Stripey-faced fish named after warrior princess San 11/02 17:44 - News24 | Houthis ready to launch attacks on Israel if war on Gaza resumes, says leader 11/02 17:38 - Who is new Wales caretaker head coach Sherratt? 11/02 17:38 - UK and US refuse to sign international AI declaration 11/02 17:38 - Majority of foreign offenders in Poland are Ukrainian – media 11/02 17:32 - Netanyahu threatens to resume Israel’s war on Gaza if captives not released 11/02 17:32 - Netanyahu threatens to resume Israel’s war on Gaza if captives not released 11/02 17:31 - Canada, Mexico and EU criticise Trump’s metal tariffs amid fears of trade war 11/02 16:49 - Nations Denounce Trump Tariff on Metals and Warn of Retaliation 11/02 16:42 - If You're Stuck In A Dressing Rut, Nordstrom Is Having An Up To 60% Off Winter Sale 11/02 15:59 - UK Steel says Trump has ‘taken a sledgehammer’ to free trade; BoE governor warns against ripping out regulation – as it happened 11/02 15:39 - Paris AI summit: JD Vance rails against 'excessive' AI regulation in a rebuke to Europe 11/02 15:21 - Drone warfare: US Army looks to learn lessons from Ukraine 11/02 15:19 - Kiev plotting to drag NATO into war – Moscow 11/02 15:09 - Gaza ceasefire: Accusations of deal violations from both sides 11/02 14:57 - Musk reacts to Zelensky’s ‘Ukrainians don’t want elections’ claim 11/02 14:14 - Can European ‘Boots on the Ground’ Help Protect Ukraine’s Security? 11/02 14:00 - Zelenskyy: Europe cannot guarantee Ukraine’s security without America 11/02 13:41 - Jordan to take sick Gaza kids as Trump pushes takeover plan 11/02 13:38 - Wales head coach Warren Gatland to leave role 11/02 13:27 - Why is Trump using tariffs and when will they take effect? 11/02 13:22 - Jordan accepting refugees from war-torn Gaza would be viewed as 'betrayal of the Palestinian cause' 11/02 13:14 - JD Vance warns against 'excessive regulation' of AI at Paris summit 11/02 12:29 - Europe told to brace for flood of Ukrainian soldiers with PTSD 11/02 12:24 - More than 170 World War II-era bombs found under U.K. playground 11/02 12:20 - Vance rails against AI regulation in Paris as US faces off with EU, China 11/02 12:20 - Vance rails against AI regulation in Paris as US faces off with EU, China 11/02 12:12 - Trump tariffs ‘will not go unanswered’ – von der Leyen 11/02 12:07 - Netanyahu has been leading the Palestinians towards disaster, but mainly the Israelis' 11/02 12:03 - Woman jailed in Sweden for keeping Yazidi slaves in Syria 11/02 12:03 - Woman jailed in Sweden for keeping Yazidi slaves in Syria 11/02 12:00 - Most charges against Gaza protesters dismissed but ‘intent is to scare people’ 11/02 11:52 - 'It's a golden generation of Welsh pundits, not Welsh players'