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Benign transition or bloody civil war: what next for Iran after the bombing?

With the US and Israel apparently without a postwar plan for the country, we explore four possible scenariosMiddle East crisis – live updatesPiecing together what US and Israeli officials have said about the attack on Iran, its objectives appear to be to inflict maximum damage on the pillars of th...

03/03/2026 17:05 The Guardian
Middle East war could be decided by who runs out of missiles or interceptors first, analysts say

Stockpiles of the most advanced US-made weapons are limited – while few know how large Iran’s arsenal isMiddle East crisis – live updatesThe war in the Middle East in maps, video and photosThe outcome and duration of the war in the Middle East may be decided by a grim calculus based on the siz...

03/03/2026 15:44 The Guardian
‘Imperialist undertones’: global south condemns US-Israeli war with Iran

China calls it unacceptable to ‘kill leader of sovereign state’, while South Africa questions ‘pre-emptive’ justificationMiddle East crisis – live updatesThe US-Israeli war on Iran has been condemned as illegal across much of the global south, with China saying it was unacceptable to “bl...

03/03/2026 13:11 The Guardian
Trump rebukes Starmer over UK refusal to back strikes on Iran

US president says ‘relationship is not what it was’ after PM defends decision not to allow use of British basesMiddle East crisis – live updatesUS-Israel war on Iran: what we know on day fourDonald Trump has criticised Keir Starmer again over the UK’s refusal to aid the offensive strikes on...

03/03/2026 08:18 The Guardian
Tuesday briefing: ‘An historic rupture’ as the Middle East crisis spreads

In today’s newsletter: senior international correspondent Julian Borger on what next as Iran targets its Gulf neighbours and the conflict escalatesGood morning. The regional war many countries had long feared is here.On Saturday, global attention turned to Iran after an extraordinary joint aerial...

03/03/2026 06:39 The Guardian
Thousands of flights cancelled as world faces worst travel chaos since Covid crisis

Hundreds of thousands of passengers remain stranded, with key air hubs in Middle East closed amid fallout from US-Israeli strikes on IranUS-Israel war on Iran – live updatesBusiness live – latest updatesThousands more flights were cancelled on Monday as the turmoil in global air travel caused by...

02/03/2026 19:41 The Guardian
Australian wildlife in ‘harm’s way’ with volunteers left to ‘pick up the pieces’ amid climate crisis, fires and floods

Ken Henry leads push for federal government to do more to protect animals as biodiversity declinesGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastLabor is being pushed to introduce tough new national rules for protecting threatened species exposed to disasters including bushfires and floo...

02/03/2026 14:00 The Guardian
Middle East crisis pushes up oil prices – and could drive inflation rises too

Effects of extended conflict between US and Iran could also lead to higher interest rates and hit economic growthBusiness live – latest updatesUS-Israel war on Iran – live updatesThe impact of the deadly and unpredictable conflict in the Middle East on the global economy will be felt most immedi...

02/03/2026 13:02 The Guardian
Hanson calls censure motion a ‘stunt’ before leaving chamber – as it happened

This blog is now closedPauline Hanson censured over Muslim comments but only two Coalition senators back motionGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastJoyce says petrol prices will increase due to conflictSpeaking with Tanya Plibersek on a Sunrise panel this morning, One Nation MP...

02/03/2026 07:01 The Guardian
US and Israel launch strikes on Iran: what we know so far

Joint operation prompts Tehran to retaliate with missile attacks on bases across Middle EastAyatollah Ali Khamenei killed, says Donald TrumpUS-Israeli war on Iran – live updatesA visual guide to US-Israeli strikes on Iran – and Tehran’s responseIran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei has been kil...

28/02/2026 23:33 The Guardian
UK issues travel warning as Middle East crisis worsens

The UK government has issued a travel warning for Israel and Palestine and withdrawn its diplomatic staff from Iran, as the US advises embassy officials in Jerusalem they can leave....

27/02/2026 11:44 Skynews
Anxiety mounts across Middle East amid fears of US-Iran war

People across region are bracing for possibility of conflict as embassies evacuate staff and flights are cancelledMiddle East crisis – live updatesAnxiety is growing over a potential war between Iran and the US in the Middle East, with embassies evacuating staff and airlines cancelling flights as...

26/02/2026 18:10 The Guardian
Hundreds of film-makers back Berlinale director in row over winners’ Gaza comments

Tilda Swinton among those to sign petition supporting Tricia Tuttle, who reportedly faces sack after pro-Palestine speeches at galaProminent directors and actors have rallied in support of the American head of the Berlin film festival in response to reports she could be sacked over comments by award...

26/02/2026 13:07 The Guardian
Trump’s new global tariffs kick in at 10%; Bank of England governor says March rate cut ‘open question’ – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial newsWhile many exporters around the world cheered when the supreme court ruled against Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs last week, the unintended consequence could be that the trade war escalates further, says Neil Wilson at the broker Saxo Mar...

24/02/2026 15:49 The Guardian
Avalanche risks remain high in California after deaths of skiers

Forecasters predict more snow in Sierra Nevada mountains as climate crisis increases threat of dangerous conditionsAvalanche risks remain high in the Sierra Nevada mountains of northern California this week, following the deadliest snowslide the region has seen in modern times.The climate crisis has...

19/02/2026 20:39 The Guardian
Ukrainian civilian casualties rose by 26% in 2025, researchers say | First Thing

Figures said to reflect increased Russian military targeting of cities and infrastructure. Plus, the week the Cuban crisis got realDon’t already get First Thing in your inbox? Sign up hereGood morning.Civilian casualties in Ukraine caused by Russian strikes surged by 26% in 2025, reflecting increa...

16/02/2026 11:49 The Guardian
‘Life requires cash’: Gaza’s jobs crisis leaves people struggling to afford basics

Fresh fruit and other items now available but at high prices in territory where unemployment is estimated at 80%Every morning, Mansour Mohammad Bakr sets out from the small rented room in Gaza City he shares with his pregnant wife and two very young daughters. The 23-year-old walks past the port and...

16/02/2026 07:00 The Guardian
Trump’s immigration agenda worsening childcare crisis, lawmakers warn

Democrats questioned White House about immigration policies exacerbating childcare shortages and costsDemocratic lawmakers, led by the senators Elizabeth Warren and Tammy Duckworth and the representative Mike Quigley, are demanding answers about how Donald Trump’s immigration policies are exacerba...

13/02/2026 14:57 The Guardian
‘Everything is frozen’: bitter winter drags on for Kyiv residents as Russia wipes out power

Kremlin’s repeated targeting of infrastructure has left thousands without heating, reliant on shelters and desperate home hacksNatalya Pavlovna watched her two-year-old son, Danylo, play with Lego. “We are taking a break from the cold,” she said as children made drawings inside a warm tent. Ad...

13/02/2026 05:00 The Guardian
Moscow preparing to evacuate Russian tourists from Cuba amid US oil blockade

Cuban aviation authorities have warned country is running out of jet fuel, threatening to derail tourism industryAir Canada cancels all flights to Cuba as US oil blockade cuts off fuel accessMoscow has said it is planning to evacuate Russian tourists from Cuba within days as a fuel crisis triggered...

11/02/2026 16:14 The Guardian
Canada and France open Greenland consulates in show of Denmark support

Founding of diplomatic outposts in Nuuk comes after US made efforts to secure control of Arctic islandOpposition to US has hardened in western Europe after Greenland threat, poll findsEurope live – latest updatesCanada and France are to open diplomatic consulates in the capital of Greenland on Fri...

06/02/2026 12:05 The Guardian
Cuba open to talks with US ‘without pressure’ after months of Trump threats

Miguel Díaz‑Canel says Cuba is willing to engage Washington amid the island’s deepening economic crisisAfter months of threats from Donald Trump, the president of Cuba, Miguel Díaz-Canel, has said that his government is willing to talk to the United States, just so long as it is “without pre...

05/02/2026 18:26 The Guardian
UK to cut climate finance to poor countries by a fifth despite promising more help

Exclusive: Campaigners say proposed cut from £11.9bn over past five years to £9bn over next five years will cost lives and livelihoodsThe UK plans to slash its aid to poor countries stricken by the climate crisis by more than a fifth, the Guardian has learned, despite promises to increase assistan...

05/02/2026 17:00 The Guardian
London schools face cuts to staff and budgets as pupil numbers fall

Demand for year 7 pupils is expected to fall by 7.6% over the next four years, with similar numbers expected in primary schoolsSchools in London could lose £45m in funding over the next four years as pupil numbers continue to fall, a report has warned, with secondary schools facing staff and curric...

02/02/2026 18:36 The Guardian
Trump threatens to sue Trevor Noah over Epstein joke at Grammys – US politics live

President calls host a ‘pathetic, talentless, dope of an M.C’ after jibe about his connections to late sex offender at ceremonyConstruction has resumed on four offshore wind mega-projects after they survived a near fatal attack by Donald Trump’s administration thanks to rulings by federal judg...

02/02/2026 12:45 The Guardian
Is Trump winning or losing his war on offshore wind power?

The US president tried to kill offshore wind projects – now four are back under constructionConstruction has resumed on four offshore wind mega-projects after they survived a near fatal attack by Donald Trump’s administration thanks to rulings by federal judges. These are being seen as victories...

02/02/2026 12:30 The Guardian
‘It’s not just about surviving’: the Ukrainian frontline city where life goes on under cover

Whether in streets draped in anti-drone nets or deep in urban basements, Kherson residents go about their everyday activities with the constant threat of Russian bombingGalyna Lutsenko, a crisis psychologist, is moving busily among a small group of children seated around a table in a basement in Khe...

01/02/2026 06:00 The Guardian
'Deepening crisis' in Myanmar, UK foreign secretary warns

Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper has said the people of Myanmar "face a deepening crisis", five years after the country's democratically-elected government was overthrown by the military....

01/02/2026 00:01 Skynews
Mexico president says Trump tariffs on Cuba’s oil suppliers could trigger humanitarian crisis

Island country only has oil enough to last 15-20 days, and 12-hour blackouts have become commonplaceMexico’s president, Claudia Sheinbaum, has warned that Donald Trump’s move to slap new tariffs on countries sending oil to Cuba could trigger a humanitarian crisis on the island, which is already...

30/01/2026 18:08 The Guardian
Sergey Brin Spends $20 Million on California Political Effort Amid Wealth Tax Debate

Sergey Brin donated $20 million to a new political drive aimed at solving California’s housing crisis, spurring other billionaires to pitch in. Their efforts may also help ward off a wealth tax....

29/01/2026 02:51 New York Times
BREAKING NEWS
04/03 09:04 - Sri Lankan Navy rescues 30 sailors from distressed Iranian frigate 04/03 08:59 - Middle East crisis live: Israel launches ‘wave of strikes’ on Tehran as Iran prepares for Ali Khamenei’s funeral 04/03 08:54 - Spain’s Sánchez says ‘no to war’ after Trump’s threats over Nato spending and use of bases – Europe live 04/03 08:53 - Hundreds of drones target Kuwait, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, UAE amid Iran war 04/03 08:53 - Hundreds of drones target Kuwait, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, UAE amid Iran war 04/03 08:53 - Asia stock markets slump and oil rises on fears Iran war may drag on 04/03 08:52 - 'No to war': Pedro Sánchez hits back as Trump threatens full trade embargo on Spain 04/03 08:38 - Analyst says interest in Epstein files plummeted after war on Iran launched 04/03 08:38 - Analyst says interest in Epstein files plummeted after war on Iran launched 04/03 08:20 - IRGC says Iran in ‘complete control’ of Strait of Hormuz amid Trump threats 04/03 08:20 - IRGC says Iran in ‘complete control’ of Strait of Hormuz amid Trump threats 04/03 08:09 - EU’s Kallas and von der Leyen on ‘collision course’ – Politico 04/03 08:01 - How long can Israel sustain a military conflict with Iran? 04/03 08:01 - How long can Israel sustain a military conflict with Iran? 04/03 07:32 - Why did US and Israel attack Iran and how long could the war last? 04/03 07:15 - 'A war of choice': US Congress opens first Iran war vote amid intensifying debate 04/03 07:05 - Major parties knock back inquiry into racism and sexism in the Senate – as it happened 04/03 06:53 - Israeli forces bomb hotel in Beirut, residential building in Lebanon’s east 04/03 06:53 - Israeli forces bomb hotel in Beirut, residential building in Lebanon’s east 04/03 06:48 - Israel, Iran continue attacks as war enters its fifth day, engulfs region 04/03 06:48 - Israel, Iran continue attacks as war enters its fifth day, engulfs region 04/03 06:19 - South Korea’s stock market suffers biggest drop in history amid US-Iran war 04/03 06:19 - South Korea’s stock market suffers biggest drop in history amid US-Iran war 04/03 06:18 - The Iran strikes could become a midterm reckoning – for Trump and Israel 04/03 06:18 - The Iran strikes could become a midterm reckoning – for Trump and Israel 04/03 06:00 - Middle East conflict offers economic lifeline to Russia’s flagging war machine 04/03 06:00 - There Is Nothing Inevitable About a Russian Victory in Ukraine 04/03 05:17 - War in Middle East live: Iran says won’t negotiate with US, can ‘continue the war’ 04/03 05:00 - News24 | Military identifies 4 soldiers killed as US nearly doubles Iran bombs compared to Iraq 04/03 03:51 - News24 | Africa urges restraint as US-Israel strikes escalate in Iran 04/03 03:47 - News24 | No timeline, rising risks: US plays down ‘endless war’ fears as Iran conflict intensifies 04/03 03:47 - News24 | Iran crisis threatens turmoil in global gas markets 04/03 03:03 - Russia, China raise diplomatic voices against US-Israeli attacks on Iran 04/03 03:03 - Russia, China raise diplomatic voices against US-Israeli attacks on Iran 04/03 02:37 - US senators fear ‘boots on the ground’ after Iran war briefing 04/03 02:37 - US senators fear ‘boots on the ground’ after Iran war briefing 04/03 02:32 - Is the US at war with Iran, why did US, Israel attack Tehran? 04/03 02:32 - Is the US at war with Iran, why did US, Israel attack Tehran? 04/03 01:45 - Protests in Venezuela against US-Israeli war on Iran 04/03 01:45 - Protests in Venezuela against US-Israeli war on Iran 04/03 01:43 - Iran war live updates: Trump says US may escort tankers through Strait of Hormuz; IDF launches strikes on Iran 04/03 01:34 - The 4 Americans Killed in the Iran War Who Have Been Identified 04/03 01:28 - Pentagon names four of six US soldiers killed in Iranian strike on Kuwait base 04/03 01:25 - Oil on Fire: War impacts global energy markets 04/03 01:25 - Oil on Fire: War impacts global energy markets 04/03 01:23 - Ukraine blocks EU mission to inspect Russian oil pipeline – FT 04/03 01:05 - Ukraine war briefing: Merz tells Trump Ukraine must not give up more territory 04/03 01:00 - Fight between Texas Republicans for US Senate seat leaves party on edge 04/03 00:58 - The Iran War Is Trump’s War 04/03 00:55 - Apalachee High School Shooting: Colin Gray Found Guilty of Murder 04/03 00:18 - Rubio claim of Israeli role in US Iran attack reverberates, despite denial 04/03 00:18 - Rubio claim of Israeli role in US Iran attack reverberates, despite denial 04/03 00:06 - Macron warns Israel against Lebanon invasion 04/03 00:06 - Macron warns Israel against Lebanon invasion 03/03 23:46 - Trump denies that Israel forced US’s hand in launching strikes against Iran 03/03 23:31 - Live updates: 4 U.S. soldiers killed in Iran conflict identified; U.S. Consulate in Dubai hit 03/03 23:31 - 13 Heated Cat Beds To Keep Your Kitty Warm And Cozy 03/03 23:21 - Trump Lays Out His ‘Worst Case’ Scenario in Iran 03/03 23:16 - Pre-Quiz WARNING: This Nostalgia Quiz Is Literally Impossible To Pass, So Good Luck 03/03 23:10 - UK to send Royal Navy warship HMS Dragon to Cyprus 03/03 22:44 - Binyamin Netanyahu is the big winner from the Iran war, for now 03/03 22:42 - Ray Takeyh: 'Iran is not a personalised dictatorship, it's an ideological system' 03/03 22:39 - Unpopularity of Iran war 'almost unprecedented' this early on, expert says 03/03 22:07 - ICE Officials Must Acknowledge Court Orders in Writing, Judge Says 03/03 21:59 - Travellers stranded, airlines under pressure as Iran war escalates 03/03 21:59 - Travellers stranded, airlines under pressure as Iran war escalates 03/03 21:42 - Can Iran's economy survive if the war drags on? 03/03 21:37 - African leaders call for dialogue amid escalating Iran crisis 03/03 21:36 - Trump threatens to cut off trade with Spain over Iran war refusal 03/03 21:29 - Have America and Israel just started a forever war with Iran? 03/03 21:22 - Oman renews push for diplomacy, says ‘off-ramps available’ in Iran war 03/03 21:22 - Oman renews push for diplomacy, says ‘off-ramps available’ in Iran war 03/03 21:21 - US troops were told war on Iran was ‘all part of God’s divine plan’, watchdog alleges 03/03 21:18 - 'Not Churchill': Trump criticises UK PM Starmer over Iran strikes 03/03 20:54 - 'The patience for Hezbollah's actions has worn out', analyst says 03/03 20:47 - Iran’s Strategy: Expand the War, Increase the Cost, Outlast Trump 03/03 20:39 - England deliver Wiegman's 'clear win' to make World Cup statement 03/03 20:30 - US midterm primary season kicks off in shadow of Iran war 03/03 20:30 - US midterm primary season kicks off in shadow of Iran war 03/03 20:22 - 'A feeling of bitter betrayal' - Gulf States' fears grow over Iran war fallout 03/03 20:19 - UK, France send warships, air defence assets to Cyprus after drone attack 03/03 20:19 - UK, France send warships, air defence assets to Cyprus after drone attack 03/03 20:17 - You Break It, You Own It? Not for Trump When It Comes to Iran. 03/03 20:03 - The Great Lie of War 03/03 20:03 - Ukraine offers defence swap help to Gulf states 03/03 20:03 - Ukraine offers defence swap help to Gulf states 03/03 20:00 - US war on Iran divides American conservatives, MAGA voters 03/03 19:58 - How Germany became Israel’s enabler-in-chief 03/03 19:54 - Trump administration has still not settled on reasons for going to war with Iran 03/03 19:44 - 'Strangely normal': As war rages in Iran, daily life in UAE remains 'orderly, calm' 03/03 19:38 - Shadow of Iraq war lies over Westminster as MPs consider US-Israeli attack on Iran 03/03 19:34 - Israeli attacks on Lebanon displace more than 58,000 in two days, authorities say 03/03 19:34 - Middle East attacks intensify as Trump says he rejects Iran’s attempt to talk 03/03 19:32 - Chaos signals Iran struggling to function as war turns into fight for survival 03/03 19:31 - "My Parents Cared More About Them Than Me": People With Polyamorous Parents Are Sharing What It Was Like Growing Up 03/03 19:00 - Macron addresses French nation on widening war in the Middle East 03/03 18:54 - Our Observers in Tehran: 'For us to achieve freedom, war is the only option' 03/03 18:49 - Watch: How the US-Israel war with Iran is jeopardising shipping 03/03 18:18 - Unemployment set to hit 5.3% this year amid ‘worrying’ rise in young jobless 03/03 18:05 - British boy back in UK after being stranded in Dubai airport amid airstrikes